Victoria is the one state that publishes how each study scaled, mark by mark, every year. That makes the VCE ATAR the most transparent in the country, and also the most misunderstood, because study scores, scaled scores and the aggregate are three different numbers. This guide keeps them apart.
For each Unit 3 and 4 study, the VCAA combines your school-assessed coursework or tasks with the external exam to produce a study score from 0 to 50. Study scores are standardised so that in a study of reasonable size the mean is about 30 and the standard deviation about 7. A 40 places you around the top 9% of that study's cohort; a 30 is the middle.
The VCAA statistically moderates school-assessed marks against the exam so that a 40 at one school means the same as a 40 at another.
A study score compares you with the students who took that study. To compare across studies, VTAC scales each study score using how those same students performed in all their other studies. If a study's students tend to score highly elsewhere, its scores scale up; if not, they scale down. Scaling is recalculated every year and published as a table of raw study score against scaled score for every study.
Scaled scores can go above 50 for the strongest studies and well below the raw score for others. A scaled score is not a judgement of difficulty; it is an adjustment for the cohort.
VTAC adds up your scaled scores in a fixed pattern:
Grouping rules limit what can sit in the primary four: at most two Mathematics studies, at most two from the English group, and similar caps for languages and some other groups. A completed but unscored VET program can contribute a block credit increment worth 10% of your fourth (lowest primary-four) score.
The aggregate is ranked against the Victorian age cohort to give the ATAR, from 99.95 down to 30.00 in 0.05 steps. Anything lower is reported as "less than 30".
A student finishes with study scores of English 36, Mathematical Methods 34, Chemistry 33, Psychology 40, Business Management 38 and Physical Education 35.
Sources
Figures in worked examples are illustrative. Scaling and rank conversions are recalculated by each admissions centre every year, so treat every estimate as a guide, not a prediction.